Causal Attribution

Measure Incremental ROI of each channel with Marketing Mix Model -based incrementality factors. Compared to experiments or benchmarks, MMM-based incrementality factors are

  • Updated daily (instead of being static)
  • Radically more robust (They leverage all available info: modeling data, experiments, attribution benchmarks..)
Overview of Causal Attribution based on Sellforte Marketing Mix Model

What is Causal Attribution?

Causal Attribution is a form of causal inference that estimates the true incremental sales impact of each channel, by adjusting attribution-reported ROAS metrics with incrementality factors: Incremental ROI = ROAS x Incrementality factor.

Incrementality factors, sometimes also referred to as calibration multipliers, can be estimated with multiple different methods:

  • Marketing Mix Modeling
  • One-off experiments: Geo Lift studies, Conversion Lift Studies
  • General benchmarks
Example of Causal Attribution

Benefits of MMM-based incrementality factors

Marketing Mix Modeling -based incrementality factors are radically more robust, because they integrate all the available information about media effectiveness together using Bayesian modeling. Used info includes:

  • MMM time-series data
  • Experiments: Geo Lift studies, Conversion Lift Studies
  • Attribution data from Last-click, Ad Platform, MTA

MMM-based incrementality factors are updated daily, whereas other methods provide static incrementality factors.

Example of Causal Attribution

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